Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: JP Financial Estadio (Cadiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, DSports 6
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Brazil	15:30	Disney+
Chile	14:30	Disney+
Colombia	13:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	13:30	DSports 6
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	12:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	01:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+
United Kingdom	19:30	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+, DSports 6
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+


	Cádiz		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.79	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.95	3.45	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.91
	4.22	3.53	1.88	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.34	3.72	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.49)	3.52 ↑ (3.36)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
23.3%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo A Coruña
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.4%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo A Coruña will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 14. Kovacevic B. 27. Fernandez P. 21. Climent M. 15. Ortuno S. 24. Gonzalez J. 11. Suso 8. Fernandez A. (C) 16. Cordero A. 23. Pascual A.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Navarro X. 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 12. Quagliata G. 2. Altimira A. 8. Villares D. (C) 21. Soriano M. 19. Cruz Luismi 10. Hernandez Y. 32. Nsongo B.
Substitutes
38. Arribas S. 13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 37. Domina J. 3. Kouame R. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 7. Perez L.	5. Barcia D. 37. Carillo N. 3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 18. Escudero S. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 7. Mulattieri S. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 14. Rodriguez R. 22. Stoichkov
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Noubi L. 🟨,
20', Gonzalez J. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
45+2', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Noubi L. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
67', Suso ↓, Perez L. ↑,
67', Fernandez A. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
74', Fernandez P. 🟨,
74', Cruz Luismi ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
74', Nsongo B. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
79', Cordero A. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,
80', Pascual A. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
81', Quagliata G. ↓, Escudero S. ↑,
86', Hernandez Y. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Stoichkov ⚽, Escudero S. (A),
89', Carillo N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 0.

Cádiz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Recio I. (Yellow Cards) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Mella D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	11	2	4	5	14:14	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Cádiz - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo A Coruña - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.01%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cádiz - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Leganés	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Burgos - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Huesca - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2
06.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
30.11.24	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4
19.01.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
21.09.19	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
12.05.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:1
22.12.18	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0

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