Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Córdoba B		Gerena

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.72	3.35	4.37
	1.73	3.35	4.37
	1.73	3.32	4.5
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.03)	3.2 ↑ (2.98)	4.37 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba B
51.1%

Draw
28.2%

Gerena
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

31.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Córdoba B's performance.

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Córdoba B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba B won 3.

Recent matches Córdoba B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Córdoba B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Córdoba B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Córdoba B - Ayamonte	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Coria CF - Córdoba B	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Córdoba B - La Palma	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Xerez Deportivo - Córdoba B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTT
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Coria CF - Gerena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
29.01.23	Gerena - Córdoba B	0:0
02.10.22	Córdoba B - Gerena	2:0
13.02.22	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:0
16.10.21	Gerena - Córdoba B	2:1
17.01.21	Córdoba B - Gerena	4:2
15.12.19	Gerena - Córdoba B	3:2
09.09.18	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:1

Córdoba B - Gerena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide