Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 9

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday


	Dachau		Erlbach

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.23
	2.83	3.45	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2
	2.8	3.54	2.24
	2.75	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (4.08)	3.4 ↓ (4)	2.19 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dachau
31.9%

Draw
26.7%

Erlbach
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

21.9%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dachau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dachau's performance.

Erlbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erlbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dachau than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dachau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erlbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dachau - Erlbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dachau won 0.

Recent matches Dachau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erlbach is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Erlbach will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dachau won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dachau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV 1865 Dachau
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
25.08.23	Rain am Lech - Dachau	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Dachau - Schwaben Augsburg	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	1860 München II - Dachau	2:1 ✺
08.08.23	Dachau - Deisenhofen	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Kirchheimer - Dachau	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLTW
- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
25.08.23	Erlbach - Gundelfingen	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Pipinsried - Erlbach	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	Erlbach - Heimstetten	1:1 ✺
08.08.23	Ismaning - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
04.08.23	Erlbach - Garching	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
26.11.22	Dachau - Erlbach	0:2
29.07.22	Erlbach - Dachau	0:0
28.03.16	Dachau - Erlbach	0:2
01.08.15	Erlbach - Dachau	0:0

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