Match Info

K3 League - Round 5

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Daejeon Korail		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.11	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.19	3.05	3.58
	2.13	2.99	3.52	Watch
	2.06	2.94	3.66
	2.06	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
43.3%

Draw
30.8%

Paju Frontier
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Seong J. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Seong J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daejeon Korail won 1.

Daejeon Korail is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Paju Citizen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paju Citizen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Daejeon Korail have a series of home games.

Daejeon Korail will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Daejeon Korail won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Daejeon Korail won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Namyangju	3:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
04.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
22.03.25	Daejeon Korail - Cheongju	1:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
16.03.25	Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWW
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
05.04.25	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Paju Frontier - Jeonbuk 2	4:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
15.03.25	Yangpyeong - Paju Frontier	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
08.03.25	Seoul Jungrang - Paju Frontier	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
17.08.24	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	0:0
19.04.24	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	0:0
15.09.23	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	1:0
20.05.23	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:0
01.10.22	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	2:1
27.05.22	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	1:1
10.09.21	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	2:2

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