Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Road (London)


	Dagenham & Redbridge		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.73
	4.2	3.5	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	4.12	3.65	1.75
	4.41	3.89	1.77
	4.8	4	1.53
	4.25	3.72	1.74
	4.3	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (5.47)	3.78 ↓ (4.21)	1.7 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagenham & Redbridge
21.2%

Draw
24.4%

Chesterfield
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

22.2%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

21.7%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dagenham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Justham E. (C) 20. Appiah-Forson K. 5. Eastman T. 9. Effiong I. 6. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 17. Kedwell H. 19. Ling S. 8. Rees J. 4. Tavares N. 7. Vincent F.	1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 33. Clements B. 17. Dobra A. 5. Grimes J. (C) 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J.
Substitutes
3. Johnson E. 12. Pereira D. 16. Phipps H. 11. Remy S. 24. Sears F.	9. Grigg W. 24. Hobson B. 7. Mandeville L. 22. Sheckleford R. 12. Williams T.

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 1.

Recent matches Dagenham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Dagenham won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
03.02.24	Rochdale - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Solihull Moors - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Barnet - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWL
- Chesterfield
English National League
03.02.24	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Chesterfield - Southend United	3:0 ✺
23.01.24	Chesterfield - Woking	1:0 ✺
16.01.24	Chesterfield - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Welling United - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.09.23	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:1
10.04.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesterfield	0:1
04.10.22	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:3
05.02.22	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1
30.10.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesterfield	2:2
22.05.21	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1
30.01.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesterfield	2:2

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