Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.37	4.6	6
	1.4	5	6.5	Watch
	1.37	5.41	7.27
	1.4	5.12	6.83
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.37	5	6.71
	1.39	4.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.94 ↓ (4.95)	6.63 ↑ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
67.3%

Draw
18.7%

Altrincham
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

18.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.2%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Chesterfield - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 22. Sheckleford R.	29. Ross E. (G) 4. Baines L. 2. Banks L. 10. Conn-Clarke C. 15. Cooper J. 3. Jones E. 9. Linney R. 8. Marriott I. (C) 44. Mooney D. 30. Newby A. 6. Osborne E.
Substitutes
18. Berry-McNally J. 35. Jones M. 7. Mandeville L. 27. Quigley J. 12. Williams T.	11. Amaluzor J. 14. Angus D. 7. Kosylo M. 16. Roscoe S. 19. Wilson G.

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.

Chesterfield is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Altrincham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chesterfield is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Welling United - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
English National League
10.01.24	Chesterfield - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Watford - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
English National League
01.01.24	Chesterfield - Solihull Moors	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Solihull Moors - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- Altrincham
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Altrincham	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
06.01.24	Altrincham - Barnet	3:2 ✺
01.01.24	Halifax Town - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Altrincham - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Bromley - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.08.23	Altrincham - Chesterfield	2:1
24.01.23	Chesterfield - Altrincham	1:0
29.08.22	Altrincham - Chesterfield	1:2
22.03.22	Altrincham - Chesterfield	1:0
23.11.21	Chesterfield - Altrincham	2:2
23.02.21	Chesterfield - Altrincham	1:0
17.11.20	Altrincham - Chesterfield	3:2

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