Match Info

National League - Round 20

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Pyone Play


	Dagon Port		Rakhine United

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.75	2.82
	2.09	3.97	2.66
	2.11	4.04	2.69	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.75
	2.09	3.92	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)	3.86 ↑ (3.76)	2.73 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagon Port
43.5%

Draw
23.4%

Rakhine United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

23.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

21.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagon Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rakhine United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagon Port than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rakhine United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Dagon Port - Rakhine United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 3)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Dagon Port has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rakhine United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dagon Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dagon Port might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dagon Port won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dagon Port won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagon Port FC
Myanmar National League
26.02.26	Dagon Port - Yarmanya United	5:2 ✺
20.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Dagon Port	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Dagon Port - Dagon	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Dagon Port - Hanthawaddy United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL
- Rakhine United
Myanmar National League
02.03.26	Rakhine United - Shan United	0:6 ✺
24.02.26	Dagon - Rakhine United	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Rakhine United	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Rakhine United - Mahar United	2:2 ✺
05.02.26	Rakhine United - Yadanarbon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
27.10.25	Rakhine United - Dagon Port	1:0
01.03.25	Rakhine United - Dagon Port	1:1
16.08.24	Dagon Port - Rakhine United	4:3

Dagon Port - Rakhine United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide