Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Pyone Play


	Rakhine United		Mahar United

	1	X	2
	3.56	4.13	1.71
	3.26	4.22	1.82	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.75
	3.68	4.1	1.71	Watch
	3.6	4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.03)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	1.74 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rakhine United
25.8%

Draw
22.3%

Mahar United
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

23.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rakhine United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mahar United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mahar United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rakhine United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mahar United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rakhine United - Mahar United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mahar United will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mahar United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 0.

In recent matches, Rakhine United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mahar United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mahar United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rakhine United has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rakhine United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.6:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mahar United	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rakhine United
Myanmar National League
05.02.26	Rakhine United - Yadanarbon	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Rakhine United - Thitsar Arman	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Yarmanya United - Rakhine United	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Rakhine United - Yangon United	1:7 ✺
05.01.26	Rakhine United - Dagon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWLL
- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
05.02.26	Mahar United - Thitsar Arman	3:3 ✺
28.01.26	Yarmanya United - Mahar United	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Mahar United - ISPE	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Dagon Port - Mahar United	4:4 ✺
13.01.26	Mahar United - Yadanarbon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
22.09.25	Mahar United - Rakhine United	3:2
05.11.24	Mahar United - Rakhine United	5:1
20.07.24	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:4
16.07.23	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:3
22.02.23	Mahar United - Rakhine United	0:0
31.10.22	Mahar United - Rakhine United	1:3
22.08.22	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:2

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