Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Dainava Alytus		Jonava

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.35
	2.01	3.66	2.92
	1.8	4.08	3.41	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.1
	1.87	3.58	3.49
	2.04	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	3.57 ↑ (3.33)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
47%

Draw
25.3%

Jonava
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-1%)

Dainava Alytus - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
63', 🟥,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jonava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of away games.

Dainava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Cup
28.04.26	Viltis Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	1:7 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tauras Tauragė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.26	Jonava - FA Šiauliai	0:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Jonava - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	FA Šiauliai B - Jonava	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ekranas - Jonava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.20	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	1:0
03.07.20	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	0:1
28.09.19	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	2:3
12.06.19	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	4:1

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