Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Dainava Alytus		Vilniaus Vytis

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.1
	1.63	3.85	3.9
	1.55	4.13	4.41
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.82	3.5	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	3.82 ↓ (4.32)	3.85 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
53%

Draw
23.6%

Vilniaus Vytis
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

20.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

16%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dainava Alytus's performance.

Vilniaus Vytis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilniaus Vytis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilniaus Vytis than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Dainava is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilniaus Vytis is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Dainava have a series of guest games.

Recently Vilniaus Vytis have a series of home games.

In this match Dainava is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dainava won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dainava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
02.10.20	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Panevėžys 2 - Dainava Alytus	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	1:0 ✺
11.09.20	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLTW
- Vilniaus Vytis
Lithuanian Division 2
03.10.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Jonava	1:3 ✺
26.09.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Nevėžis	1:4 ✺
20.09.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
15.09.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Hegelmann Litauen	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
11.09.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	1:1
02.08.19	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	0:1
05.04.19	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:3
13.10.18	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	2:1
15.06.18	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:2
29.09.17	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:1
Lithuanian Cup
26.06.17	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	3:6

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