Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 29

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.35	2.4
	2.6	3.35	2.25
	2.56	3.57	2.2
	2.62	3.3	2.25
	2.43	3.76	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.89)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	2.32 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
35.4%

Draw
25.9%

Dainava Alytus
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nevėžis will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Dainava will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nevėžis: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nevėžis won 1.

Recent matches Nevėžis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dainava is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nevėžis won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Nevėžis won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
30.10.22	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Marijampolė City - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
14.10.22	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	2:3 ✺
30.09.22	Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
28.10.22	Dainava Alytus - Marijampolė City	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Panevėžys 2 - Dainava Alytus	1:3 ✺
17.10.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Dainava Alytus	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:4 ✺
30.09.22	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
01.07.22	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	2:1
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.07.21	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:1
09.07.21	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	1:1
24.04.21	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:1
06.03.21	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:2
Lithuanian Division 2
11.09.20	Nevėžis - Dainava Alytus	0:0
02.08.20	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:2

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