Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jonava		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	3	3.05	2.15
	3.04	3.32	2.19
	3.03	3.22	2.21	Watch
	3	3	2.16
	3.09	3.13	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jonava
29.8%

Draw
28.7%

Dainava Alytus
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.1%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+4%)

Jonava - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dainava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jonava - FA Šiauliai B	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Jonava - Ekranas	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Cup
01.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	3:0
19.09.20	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	1:0
03.07.20	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	0:1
28.09.19	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	2:3
12.06.19	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	4:1

Upcoming Matches