Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 23Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday
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Dakar SC |
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AJEL de Rufisque |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.15 |
2.4 |
2.62 |
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 |
3.21 |
2.33 |
2.7 |
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3.31 |
2.4 |
2.72 |
 Watch |
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3.2 |
2.25 |
2.7 |
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3.33 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(3.66) |
2.4 ↓
(2.75) |
2.67 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dakar SC
28% | Draw
37.9% | AJEL de Rufisque
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dakar SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AJEL de Rufisque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dakar SC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AJEL de Rufisque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).Recent form of Dakar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).AJEL is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). AJEL could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dakar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Dakar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | AJEL | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 54 |
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| 12 | Dakar SC | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Senegal Ligue 1 | | | 21.12.25 | AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC | 1:1 | | 14.06.25 | Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque | 3:0 | | 18.01.25 | AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC | 2:1 |
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