Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 7

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)

Referee: Xiong X. (Chn)


	Dalian Young Boy		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.85	3.25	4	Watch
	1.9	3.13	4.74
	1.87	3.13	4.74
	1.73	3.2	4.6
	1.82	3.25	4.49	Watch
	1.78	3.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.1)	3.17 ↑ (3.03)	4.49 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
50.6%

Draw
28.9%

Yanbian Longding
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Young Boy's performance.

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanbian Longding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Young Boy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 33. Zhang H. 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 16. Zhu P. 21. Lu Peng 22. Mao W. 29. Sun B. 44. Kotnik A. 4. Zhao Xuebin	12. Li Ya'nan (G) 26. Xu Wenguang 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 17. Li Shibin 31. Qian Changjie 24. Li Haojie 7. Han Guanghui 10. Ivo 9. Ronan 30. Wang B.
Substitutes
23. 23 7. Embalo J. 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 14. Li Z. 38. Lu Zhuoyi 12. Wang Shengbo 20. Wang Shixin 31. Wu Xinze 39. Yan Xiangchuang 24. Yuan H. 26. Zhongkai C.	19. Dong Jialin (G) 18. Khedrup Lobsang 5. Li Da 33. Li Jinyu 14. Li L. 13. Lin Taijun 6. Li Qiang 29. Liu Bo 8. Sun Jun 23. Wang Chengkuai 2. Xuan Z. 4. Zhang Y.
Coaches
Li G.	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Zhao Xuebin ⚽, He Xiaoqiang (A),
37', He Xiaoqiang 🟨,
39', Ivo ↓, Li L. ↑,
42', Zhu P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhu P. ↓, Yan Xiangchuang ↑,
66', Zhang H. ↓, Zhongkai C. ↑,
69', Qian Changjie ↓, Li Qiang ↑,
69', Li Shibin ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
70', Zhao Xuebin ↓, Embalo J. ↑,
82', Sun B. ↓, Lu Zhuoyi ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽,
86', Mao W. 🟨,
87', Li Haojie ↓, Liu Bo ↑,
87', Xu Wenguang ↓, Li Da ↑,
88', Li Da 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).

Dalian Young Boy in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dalian Young Boy to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
13.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Dalian Young Boy - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
13.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTWL

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