Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wuxi Wugou		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	2.85	3.05	2.22
	3.02	3.37	2.38
	3.19	3.28	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.35
	2.96	3.34	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.2)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.26 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
30.9%

Draw
28.5%

Yanbian Longding
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuxi Wugou's form might have worsened.

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanbian Longding's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 27. He Wei 25. Wang Zihao 4. Isic T. 36. Tang Rui 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 23. Dong Kaining 22. Gui Zihan 37. Yi Xianlong 19. Noordanus N. 7. Albarracin N. (C)	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 33. Hu Ziqian 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 20. Jin Taiyan 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. 37. Giovanny
Substitutes
38. Chen Guokang 21. Gao Jingchun 26. Gou J. 14. Hao Kesen (G) 30. Li Boxi 2. Liu Boyang 18. Meng Junjie 17. Sun Z. 3. Xie Xiaofan 20. Zhang Yonglong 16. Zhou Pinxi 28. Zhou Zhixuan	11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 8. He Zhenyu 36. Li R. 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu
Coaches
Dias B.	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Yi Xianlong ⚽,
64', Dong Kaining 🟨,
65', Cui Taixu 🟨,
76', Cui Taixu ↓, Che Zeping ↑,
76', Hu Ziqian ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
77', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Tang Rui ⚽, Tursunjan Ahmat (A),
87', Noordanus N. ↓, Li Boxi ↑,
90+1', Domingos J. 🟨,
90+2', Gui Zihan ↓, Xie Xiaofan ↑,
90+2', Albarracin N. ↓, Gou J. ↑,
90+5', Dong Kaining ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuxi Wugou won 1.

Wuxi Wugou is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Yanbian Longding has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Wuxi Wugou has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wuxi Wugou won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wuxi Wugou won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Yanbian Longding - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.94%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Wuxi Wugou - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Juniors	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1
14.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1
16.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0
19.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	2:2
10.05.23	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	0:0
Chinese Yi League
04.11.22	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	0:0

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