Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.69	3.53	4.71
	1.67	3.62	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	3.61 ↓ (3.88)	4.58 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
54.6%

Draw
25.4%

Gainsborough Trinity
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Hatfield W. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Howe D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 2, Butroid L. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Darlington is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darlington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
21.09.24	Darlington - Southport	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Marine - Darlington	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Darlington - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTTWT
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
24.09.24	Macclesfield Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Basford United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Grantham Town	2:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
23.11.19	Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1
English National League North
23.12.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Darlington	3:1
09.08.17	Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity	4:3
25.03.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Darlington	3:3
15.10.16	Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity	5:2

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