The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Darlington 47.8%
Draw 24.8%
Spennymoor Town 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.5%
26.7%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
26.4%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.
Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Darlington - Spennymoor Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Stephenson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Stephenson D. (Penalty Awarded),
70', 3 - 0, Stephenson D. ⚽,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 24th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 3.
Darlington is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Spennymoor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Spennymoor has had a run of games away from home.
Darlington is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Darlington has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:22 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Darlington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
22
Darlington
14
3
2
9
17:25
-8
11
24
Spennymoor
13
1
4
8
12:27
-15
7
Last Results with these Odds
Darlington - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.54%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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