Match Info

National League North - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.42	3.45	2.58
	2.65	3.63	2.36	Watch
	2.46	3.56	2.62
	2.42	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.65)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Darlington
37.3%

Draw
26.3%

Spennymoor Town
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

24.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

Darlington - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Spennymoor (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spennymoor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Salkeld C. 🟨,
63', Barrow S. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.

Recent performances by Darlington have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spennymoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spennymoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
18.11.25	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	5:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	United of Manchester - Darlington	3:2 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merthyr Town - Darlington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWL
- Spennymoor Town
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	2:3 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Barrow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1
31.08.24	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0
09.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1
28.10.23	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:2
28.01.23	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	1:3
English National League North
27.08.22	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	1:1

Upcoming Matches