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Current Win Probability
Darlington 49%
Draw 24.7%
Alfreton Town 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
21%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
20.4%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Darlington - Alfreton Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Allan T. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Cummings J. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, McGowan W. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.
Recent performances by Darlington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alfreton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Darlington could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
Watch
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