Match Info

National League North - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.70
	2.25	3.40	2.55
	2.25	3.30	2.70
	2.43	3.91	2.60
	2.31	3.85	2.66	Watch
	2.35	3.85	2.50
	2.27	3.71	2.78
	2.28	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	3.65 ↑ (3.58)	2.64 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
40.1%

Draw
25.2%

Hebburn Town
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.7%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Darlington - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Beck M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Murray L. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 5th in the Promotion ~ National League North PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Darlington is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Hebburn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Darlington is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hebburn Town: 1.12%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hebburn Town	10	5	3	2	16:16	0	18
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hebburn Town - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
12.09.26	Marine - Darlington	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Chorley - Darlington	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Darlington - King`s Lynn Town	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Radcliffe - Darlington	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Darlington - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Hebburn Town
English National League North
12.09.26	Hebburn Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Radcliffe - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Hebburn Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hebburn Town - King`s Lynn Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTLW

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