Match Info
National League North - Round 8Date: 8 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Victory Park (Chorley)
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Chorley |
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Darlington |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.2 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
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2.20 |
3.40 |
2.65 |
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2.2 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
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2.38 |
3.58 |
2.78 |
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2.32 |
3.64 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
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2.29 |
3.63 |
2.81 |
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2.2 |
3.45 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.1) |
3.51 ↑
(3.3) |
2.75 ↓
(2.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Chorley
40.6% | Draw
26.1% | Darlington
33.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Chorley - Darlington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Clarke W. ⚽,
- 43', Hazelhurst J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+4', 3 - 0, Hazelhurst J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 55', 4 - 0, Hazelhurst J. ⚽,
- 75', 4 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 2, Rutledge A. ⚽,
- 87', 5 - 2, Sampson J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 20).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.Chorley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Darlington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Chorley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.9:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
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| 23 | Darlington | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
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Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.59%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Darlington - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.31%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 24.01.26 | Chorley - Darlington | 1:2 | | 09.08.25 | Darlington - Chorley | 2:3 | | 25.03.25 | Darlington - Chorley | 1:1 | | 22.10.24 | Chorley - Darlington | 3:0 | | 29.03.24 | Darlington - Chorley | 0:3 | | 14.11.23 | Chorley - Darlington | 8:0 | | 07.01.23 | Darlington - Chorley | 0:3 |
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