Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.83
	3.30	3.50	1.87
	3.4	3.55	1.9
	3.41	3.83	1.92
	3.42	3.91	1.92	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.87
	3.4	3.58	1.9
	3.3	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
27%

Draw
24.8%

Macclesfield Town
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Darlington have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Darlington - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Stephenson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Elliott D. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Elliott D. ⚽,

Preview

Darlington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Macclesfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Macclesfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Darlington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Macclesfield: 18.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	13:6	7	21
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Darlington - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Macclesfield Town - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
22.08.26	Harborough Town - Darlington	4:2 ✺
18.08.26	Darlington - Chester	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bedford Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Darlington - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Darlington - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Macclesfield Town
English National League North
22.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Spalding United - Macclesfield Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Macclesfield Town - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Tamworth - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.03.26	Darlington - Macclesfield Town	1:2
30.08.25	Macclesfield Town - Darlington	2:1

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