Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Darya Babol		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.65	2.3
	3.06	2.79	2.38
	3.06	2.79	2.38
	3.32	2.67	2.35
	3.5	2.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.31)	2.74 ↓ (2.84)	2.29 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Babol
27.9%

Draw
32.8%

Fajr Sepasi
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Babol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Babol's form might have worsened.

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajr Sepasi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Babol than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Babol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajr Sepasi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Darya Babol - Fajr Sepasi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Darya Babol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fajr Sepasi will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Darya Babol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fajr Sepasi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Darya Babol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Darya Babol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Babol
Iran Division 1
15.10.23	Khoosheh Talai - Darya Babol	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Darya Babol - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Damash Gilan - Darya Babol	1:1 ✺
25.09.23	Darya Babol - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Darya Babol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
15.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Mes Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Fajr Sepasi - Damash Gilan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.04.23	Fajr Sepasi - Darya Babol	4:1
12.11.22	Darya Babol - Fajr Sepasi	3:0

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