Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	SaiPa		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.92	3.05	4
	1.93	3.14	3.97	Watch
	1.94	3	4.01
	1.92	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.92)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	3.95 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
47.2%

Draw
29.8%

Fajr Sepasi
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

31.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Khodayarifard M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Fajr Sepasi is Qualified for Persian Gulf Pro League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 1.

Recent performances by SaiPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fajr Sepasi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, SaiPa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
12.05.25	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Paykan - SaiPa	3:0 ✺
29.04.25	SaiPa - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	SaiPa - Shahr Raz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTW
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
12.05.25	Fajr Sepasi - Damash Gilan	4:0 ✺
06.05.25	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Besat Kermanshah - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Shahrdari Astara - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
18.03.25	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Sungun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
03.01.25	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	0:0
20.02.24	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	1:1
17.09.23	SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi	2:1
13.02.23	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	1:0
20.09.22	SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
Iran Pro League
06.04.14	SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
27.10.13	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	0:1

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