Match Info

IRAN: Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday


	Darya Babol		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.3
	2.25	2.78	3.42
	2.26	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.26)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Babol
40.3%

Draw
32.9%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Babol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Babol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Jahani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Darya Babol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mes Shahr-e Babak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darya Babol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Darya Babol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Darya Babol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Babol
Iran Division 1
14.04.24	Darya Babol - Shahin Bandar Ameri	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Fajr Sepasi - Darya Babol	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Darya Babol - Khoosheh Talai	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Mes Kerman - Darya Babol	0:0 ✺
04.03.24	Darya Babol - Damash Gilan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWTW
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
14.04.24	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Damash Gilan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mes Sungun - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
15.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Darya Babol	3:0
17.05.23	Darya Babol - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	3:1
25.12.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Darya Babol	0:0

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