Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 17

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Naft va Gaz Gachsaran

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.42	5.64	Watch
	1.5	3.25	6
	1.53	3.3	6.88
	1.55	3.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	3.33 (3.33)	6.13 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
58.2%

Draw
27.1%

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

27%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

25.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Baseri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Zolfipour R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 15).

Mes Shahr-e Babak is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naft Gachsaran has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Naft Gachsaran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mes Shahr-e Babak is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Malavan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	3:0 ✺
Iran Division 1
12.12.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Niroye Zamini - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW
- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.11.25	Besat Kermanshah - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
26.02.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1
10.10.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:0
16.03.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0
14.10.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0

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