Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Mes Kerman		Darya Babol

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.75	4.1
	2.02	2.76	4
	1.83	2.76	3.91
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.86	2.96	4.54
	2.01	2.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.51)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)	4.09 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Kerman
46.3%

Draw
31.8%

Darya Babol
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

28.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

27.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mes Kerman's form might have worsened.

Darya Babol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darya Babol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mes Kerman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Babol than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darya Babol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Mes Kerman - Darya Babol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mes Kerman will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mes Kerman is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darya Babol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mes Kerman is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mes Kerman won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
05.03.24	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	SaiPa - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Mes Kerman - Khoosheh Talai	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWTT
- Darya Babol
Iran Division 1
04.03.24	Darya Babol - Damash Gilan	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Darya Babol	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Darya Babol - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:4 ✺
14.02.24	Mes Sungun - Darya Babol	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Darya Babol - SaiPa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
08.10.23	Darya Babol - Mes Kerman	1:1

Mes Kerman - Darya Babol