Match Info

NB I. - Round 33

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)


	Debreceni		Ujpest

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.65	3.9	4.25
	1.68	4.15	4.68
	1.71	3.72	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.64	3.78	4.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	3.86 ↑ (3.82)	4.52 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Debreceni
55.5%

Draw
24%

Ujpest
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Debreceni - Ujpest Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Debreceni will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ujpest will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Debreceni: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Demjen P. (G) 23. Tercza G. 4. Mejias J. 26. Lang A. 3. Guerrero A. 5. Batik B. 8. Szucs T. 19. Kocsis D. 10. Dzsudzsak B. (C) 14. Gordic D. 11. Komaromi G.	23. Banai D. (C) 38. Sarkadi K. 30. Nunes J. 94. Stronati P. 44. Gergenyi B. 17. Matko A. 18. Lacoux T. 77. Fenyo N. 27. Krajcsovics A. 10. Maier A. 9. Brodic F.
Substitutes
95. Bermejo A. 6. Camarasa V. 96. Dacosta J. 12. Erdelyi B. (G) 74. Kohut M. 29. Kusnyir E. 16. Manzanara F. 15. Patai D. 2. Szakal D. 77. Szecsi M. 13. Szuhodovszki S. 20. Youga A.	8. Ademi A. 33. Bese B. 31. Dombo D. (G) 4. Feher C. 19. Gradisar N. 74. Kaczvinszki D. 5. Kobouri D. 15. Mucsanyi M. 1. Piscitelli R. (G) 34. Tucic M. 39. Vlijter G.
Coaches
Navarro S.	Szelesi Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mejias J. ⚽, Dzsudzsak B. (A),
15', Mejias J. 🟨,
38', Fenyo N. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Kocsis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fenyo N. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
46', Brodic F. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
53', Ademi A. 🟨,
59', Krajcsovics A. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
61', Matko A. 🟨,
71', Gordic D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
74', Maier A. ↓, Mucsanyi M. ↑,
76', Dzsudzsak B. ↓, Szuhodovszki S. ↑,
76', Tercza G. ↓, Szecsi M. ↑,
79', Komaromi G. 🟨,
81', Lacoux T. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
82', Kocsis D. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
82', Mejias J. ↓, Szakal D. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Matko A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Gradisar N. 🟨,
90+4', Batik B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Debreceni is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ujpest	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14
9	Debrecen	8	2	3	3	12:15	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Debreceni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB I
03.05.26	Paksi SE - Debreceni	5:2 ✺
26.04.26	Debreceni - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Diósgyőri - Debreceni	0:5 ✺
13.04.26	Kisvárda - Debreceni	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Debreceni - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWTL
- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
03.05.26	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Ujpest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	7:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kazincbarcikai - Ujpest	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ujpest - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
13.02.26	Ujpest - Debreceni	2:1
26.10.25	Debreceni - Ujpest	5:2
13.04.25	Ujpest - Debreceni	2:1
08.12.24	Debreceni - Ujpest	1:2
23.08.24	Ujpest - Debreceni	3:0
27.04.24	Debreceni - Ujpest	1:0
06.02.24	Ujpest - Debreceni	1:2

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