Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos (Sertania)


	Decisão		Afogados da Ingazeira

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.47	3	2.7
	2.33	3.3	2.94
	2.37	3.26	2.79	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.31	3.13	2.89
	2.41	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	2.82 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decisão
38.4%

Draw
29.5%

Afogados da Ingazeira
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decisão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decisão than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Decisão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Decisão will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anderson Testa (G) 3. Artur Potiguar 19. Bambam 5. Barra 2. Cordeiro F. (C) 11. Henrique Paraiba 8. Ikaro 10. Juan Kelsen 7. Mosquito M. 6. Nino Potiguar 4. Rodrigues G.	1. Danilo Dantas (G) 8. Acaua 2. Claudio Caca-Rato 4. Kayk 10. Leozinho 11. Lucas Bala 7. Marcelo 5. Pedro Henrique 9. Rodrigo (C) 3. Vinicius 6. Weslley
Substitutes
21. Adryan 33. Breno (G) 16. Erivan 1. Henrique (G) 20. Jonathan 17. Juliano 18. Juninho Silva 9. Leo Reis 14. Lucas Alchnovic 13. Moura A. 15. Natan	19. Carlos Eduardo 14. Clebson 26. Endrio (G) 12. Erik Silva (G) 18. Gilsinho 15. Goncalves da Silva C. E. 13. Matheus Oliveira 20. Rai 21. Stuart 17. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Rodrigues G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Bala ↓, Stuart ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Mosquito M. ⚽,
65', Henrique Paraiba 🟨,
67', Juan Kelsen ↓, Juliano ↑,
67', Ikaro ↓, Natan ↑,
74', Bambam ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
74', Marcelo ↓, Rai ↑,
84', Rai 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', Mosquito M. ↓, Erivan ↑,
87', Leozinho ↓, Gilsinho ↑,
90', Pedro Henrique ↓, Clebson ↑,
90+2', Acaua ↓, Vitinho ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano).

Recent matches Decisão is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Afogados is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Decisão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Decisão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Including matches at home between the teams Decisão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decisão FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Maguary - Decisão	5:0 ✺
30.01.25	Decisão - Petrolina	3:0 ✺
22.01.25	Jaguar - Decisão	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Sport Recife - Decisão	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Decisão - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLTT
- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
29.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Central SC	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.01.20	Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira	0:4

Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide