Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 3

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Santa Cruz Recife		Afogados da Ingazeira

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.5
	1.51	3.45	5
	1.53	3.84	5.72
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.82	5.86
	1.51	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)	5.43 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
58.9%

Draw
24.7%

Afogados da Ingazeira
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Afogados da Ingazeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rokenedy (G) 9. Gilvan 7. Joao Pedro 5. Lucas Siqueira 10. Matheus Melo 13. Matheus Vinicius 6. Rodrigues 17. Thiaguinho 2. Toty 8. Wagner Balotelli 4. William Alves (C)	1. Danilo Dantas (G) 9. Acaua 7. Claudio Caca-Rato 5. Dede 2. Denner 118. Filipe Eduardo 8. Geyson 4. Kayk 10. Leozinho 3. Vinicius 6. Weslley
Substitutes
16. Douglas Skilo 18. Henrique Lordelo 15. Israel 11. Jhonatan Ribeiro 3. Michel Bennech 21. Pedro Maia 23. Richardson 14. Ruan Robert 12. Thiago Henrique (G) 19. Tulio 22. Ze Artur	15. Cadu 25. Endrio (G) 12. Erik Silva (G) 17. Goncalves da Silva C. E. 18. Marcelo 14. Matheus Oliveira 20. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Thiaguinho ⚽,
25', Lucas Siqueira 🟨,
44', Kayk 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Matheus Melo ⚽,
73', Matheus Melo ↓, Henrique Lordelo ↑,
73', Wagner Balotelli ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
73', Toty ↓, Israel ↑,
74', Geyson ↓, Vitinho ↑,
81', Gilvan ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
86', Leozinho ↓, Marcelo ↑,
89', Joao Pedro ↓, Tulio ↑,
90', Kayk ↓, Matheus Oliveira ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 3.

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:7 (average 2.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Decisão - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Treze	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.12.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	Canceled ✺
07.12.24	CS Alagoano - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTL?L
- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.24	Campinense - Afogados da Ingazeira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.03.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.02.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	5:1
12.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1
03.02.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	5:2
05.05.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 penalties
02.05.21	Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
19.02.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2
27.03.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:2 penalties

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