Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos (Sertania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Decisão		Vitória das Tabocas

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.92	4.15
	1.95	3.04	4.34
	1.95	2.95	4.14	Watch
	1.95	2.75	4
	1.94	2.88	4.2
	1.96	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)	2.92 ↓ (3.37)	4.22 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decisão
47%

Draw
31.3%

Vitória das Tabocas
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decisão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Decisão's form might have worsened.

Vitória das Tabocas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decisão than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória das Tabocas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Decisão - Vitória das Tabocas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mateus Raffler (G) 19. Bambam 5. Caio Bahia 21. Cesar Leite M. 8. Eder Monteiro (C) 3. Israel 13. Marolla 6. Mateus Rodrigues 18. Pablinho 4. Pedrao 17. Richarles	1. Diego (G) 6. Alan Pires 5. Diego Aragao 8. Ewerton Ageu 11. Gabriel Pires 2. Guilherme Lucena 4. Hitalo 34. Leo Gaucho 9. Manoel 7. Pedro Maycon 10. Tomas Dias
Substitutes
14. Alessandro 16. Dayvisson 7. Fernando Portel 15. Henrique Araujo 12. Joao Gabriel (G) 9. Luis Lipek 11. Mosquito 10. Xandinho 20. Yan	22. Bruninho 13. Claudio Caca-Rato 20. Dudu 18. Elivelton 17. Juninho Carpina 12. Lucao (G) 16. Lucas Leandro 15. Miro 14. Natanel 19. Olimpio L. 21. Pepeto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Manoel ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Manoel ⚽,
33', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Tomas Dias ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marolla ↓, Fernando Portel ↑,
48', Mateus Rodrigues 🟨,
50', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
62', Manoel ↓, Elivelton ↑,
66', Israel ↓, Luis Lipek ↑,
70', Mateus Rodrigues ↓, Alessandro ↑,
71', Pedro Maycon ↓, Bruninho ↑,
71', Tomas Dias ↓, Juninho Carpina ↑,
79', Natanel ↓, Pepeto ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Ewerton Ageu ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano 2).

Recent performances by Decisão have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vitória das Tabocas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vitória das Tabocas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Decisão could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Decisão won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Decisão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decisão FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.01.26	Maguary - Decisão	3:4 ✺
21.01.26	Sport Recife - Decisão	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Decisão - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLL
- Vitória das Tabocas
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
24.01.26	Sport Recife - Vitória das Tabocas	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Maguary	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Vitória das Tabocas	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Pernambucano 2
24.08.24	Decisão - Vitória das Tabocas	5:2
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.08.20	Decisão - Vitória das Tabocas	1:2
19.01.20	Vitória das Tabocas - Decisão	0:1

Decisão - Vitória das Tabocas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide