Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos (Sertania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Decisão		Jaguar

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.35
	2.18	3.14	3.18	Watch
	2	2.9	3.4
	2.02	3.22	3.63
	2.05	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decisão
44.1%

Draw
29.5%

Jaguar
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decisão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Jaguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Decisão - Jaguar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Joao Gabriel (G) 2. Almeida da Silva K. D. 19. Bambam 16. Batista R. 5. Caio Bahia 8. Eder Monteiro 7. Fernando Portel 3. Israel 6. Mateus Rodrigues 11. Mosquito 18. Pablinho	1. Igor (G) 5. Anderson Sao Joao 3. Cruz R. 13. Gil Mineiro 26. Jefferson Recife 10. Lele 23. Leo Mago 28. Medina 6. Nilson 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo
Substitutes
13. Alessandro 21. Dayvisson 10. Jonas 9. Luis Lipek 1. Mateus Raffler (G) 17. Richarles 15. Xandinho 20. Yan	4. David Farias 11. Erik 16. Guilherme 14. Jackson 12. Juca (G) 20. Juninho 2. Oliveira F. 27. Ricardinho 19. Santos A. 9. Wallace

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Leo Mago 🟨,
12', Fernando Portel 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Bambam ⚽,
41', Anderson Sao Joao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jefferson Recife ↓, Guilherme ↑,
46', Anderson Sao Joao ↓, Erik ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Eder Monteiro ⚽,
57', Fernando Portel ↓, Alessandro ↑,
58', Lele ↓, Santos A. ↑,
58', Cruz R. ↓, Wallace ↑,
58', Mosquito ↓, Richarles ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', Pablinho ↓, Jonas ↑,
70', Eder Monteiro ↓, Henrique Araujo ↑,
76', Medina ↓, Juninho ↑,
78', Almeida da Silva K. D. 🟨,
90', Jonas 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Decisão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Decisão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Decisão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decisão FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
14.01.26	Decisão - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Decisão - Confiança	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Confiança PB - Decisão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.03.25	Sport Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL
- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
13.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Jaguar - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.25	Jaguar - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Jaguar - Petrolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.01.25	Jaguar - Decisão	2:1
Brazilian Pernambucano 2
21.09.24	Decisão - Jaguar	0:1
14.07.24	Decisão - Jaguar	2:1

Decisão - Jaguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide