Match Info

Primera C - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Defensores de Cambaceres		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	4	2.8	2.04	Watch
	4.26	2.78	2.13
	4.29	2.58	2.14	Watch
	4.15	2.65	2.08
	4	2.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.16)	2.79 ↓ (3.14)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Cambaceres
23.2%

Draw
33%

Ituzaingó
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Cambaceres's form might have worsened.

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Cambaceres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Defensores de Cambaceres - Ituzaingó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Cambaceres has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ituzaingó has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ituzaingó could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambaceres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambaceres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentinian Primera C
28.04.25	Deportivo Español - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlético Claypole	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	El Porvenir - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
25.04.25	Ituzaingó - Leandro N. Alem	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Mercedes - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ituzaingó - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Ituzaingó - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
29.11.24	Ituzaingó - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0
30.06.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Ituzaingó	1:0
19.02.18	Ituzaingó - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:1
15.09.17	Defensores de Cambaceres - Ituzaingó	0:0

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