Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 27

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.83	4.63
	1.72	3.75	4.62	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.2
	1.69	3.88	4.64	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.49)	3.73 ↓ (4.63)	4.51 ↓ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
54.2%

Draw
25.1%

Örebro
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

19.7%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Degerfors's form might have worsened.

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Degerfors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örebro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	2.8%	5.6%

Degerfors - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: Degerfors will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Forsell R. (G) 6. Moros C. 30. Morgado B. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 12. Lindell E. 22. Girmai N. 20. Gravius C. 2. Diaby M. 10. Vukojevic D. 9. Lindgren G. 8. Holmen K.	1. Pahlsson M. (G) 3. Kack O. 4. McCue E. 5. Modig J. 11. Kroon S. 22. Shlimon L. 6. Crona S. 70. Andersson E. 99. Yasin A. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 7. Barsoum E.
Substitutes
11. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 26. Jarlesand F. (G) 17. Kassi L. 4. Martensson J. 21. Pihlstrom E.	10. Backman V. 28. Bark A. 2. Bjornstad T. 24. Dukhan W. 12. Hansemon T. 14. Shagaxle H. 13. Strindholm D. (G)
Coaches
Lundin W.	Jardler C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lindell E. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
24', Gravius C. 🟨,
24', Holmberg K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Lindgren G. ⚽, Holmen K. (A),
56', Moros C. 🟨,
57', Morgado B. ↓, Heden Lindskog A. ↑,
65', McCue E. 🟨,
65', Modig J. 🟨,
67', Crona S. ↓, Backman V. ↑,
67', Andersson E. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
69', Kack O. 🟨,
75', Kroon S. 🟨,
78', Lindgren G. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
78', Diaby M. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
82', Holmen K. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, McCue E. ⚽, Shlimon L. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Modig J. ⚽, McCue E. (A),
90+4', Barsoum E. ↓, Hansemon T. ↑,
90+4', Shlimon L. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
90+5', Dukhan W. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3.

Degerfors in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Örebro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Degerfors to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
06.10.24	Sundsvall - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sandviken - Degerfors	0:1 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Utsikten - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Örebro - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Oddevold - Örebro	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Örebro - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.05.24	Örebro - Degerfors	2:1
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Örebro - Degerfors	0:5
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.10.21	Örebro - Degerfors	1:2
18.05.21	Degerfors - Örebro	3:0
Club Friendly
15.02.20	Örebro - Degerfors	1:1
09.02.19	Örebro - Degerfors	1:0
11.02.18	Örebro - Degerfors	1:0

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