Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 23

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Dufva-Johansson A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	8	Watch
	1.3	5	8.25
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.32	5.42	9.11
	1.33	5.12	8.39	Watch
	1.25	5	9
	1.32	5.3	8.4	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	5.26 ↑ (4.82)	8.64 ↑ (6.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
71.5%

Draw
17.7%

Gefle
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.5%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Degerfors - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gefle will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Forsell R. (G) 6. Moros C. 30. Morgado B. 7. Ohlsson S. 12. Lindell E. 4. Martensson J. (C) 20. Gravius C. 2. Diaby M. 8. Holmen K. 9. Lindgren G. 10. Vukojevic D.	22. Nilsson M. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 19. Aspgren C. 10. Izountouemoi S. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 11. Englund L. 8. Lundin A.
Substitutes
11. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 17. Kassi L. 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E. 26. Ronnberg L. (G)	2. Adel I. 35. Adrian S. 12. Bellman H. 9. Hjelte J. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 16. Persson K.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Edqvist A. 🟨,
45+4', Lundin A. 🟨,
45+4', Rafael Y. 🟨,
45+4', Martensson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Diaby M. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
62', Martensson J. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
62', Holmen K. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
70', Ranera I. ↓, Adrian S. ↑,
79', Rafael Y. ↓, Bellman H. ↑,
79', Englund L. ↓, Hjelte J. ↑,
85', Izountouemoi S. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
88', Gronborg T. 🟨,
90+3', Lindell E. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Fisic A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Degerfors in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Degerfors is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Degerfors to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
14.09.24	Utsikten - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Degerfors - Östersund	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Örgryte - Degerfors	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
21.08.24	Nyköping - Degerfors	1:4 ✺
Swedish Superettan
18.08.24	Degerfors - Brage	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
15.09.24	Gefle - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Skövde AIK - Gefle	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gefle - Öster	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Huddinge - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
17.08.24	Örebro - Gefle	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2
03.11.18	Degerfors - Gefle	4:0
14.04.18	Gefle - Degerfors	0:1
29.10.17	Gefle - Degerfors	1:1
10.06.17	Degerfors - Gefle	2:0

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