Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 21

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 8, TV4 Play


	Skövde AIK		Gefle

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.65	3.4	2.37
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.79	3.5	2.42
	2.57	3.41	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.59	3.54	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.78)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
35.8%

Draw
27%

Gefle
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Skövde AIK - Gefle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 18. Tellgren E. 4. Drinic F. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 21. Mikhail M. 10. Abraham S. 6. Abraham E. 11. Diagne M. 13. Engstrom H. 99. Shhab S.	22. Nilsson M. (G) 19. Aspgren C. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 3. Adolfsson J. 15. Friberg G. 7. Edqvist A. 6. Browning L. 35. Adrian S. 24. Rafael Y. 9. Hjelte J. 11. Englund L.
Substitutes
32. Bilalovic K. 1. Frojd M. (G) 24. Hellichius F. 9. Ljubicic S. 23. Ovsenek Z. 7. Skillermo E. 20. Suljev A.	12. Bellman H. 27. Hedvall W. 10. Izountouemoi S. 8. Lundin A. 16. Persson K. 44. Ranera I.
Coaches
Abraham C.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Adrian S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Drinic F. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Lundin A. ⚽,
75', Engstrom H. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
75', Shhab S. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
75', Rafael Y. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
81', Abraham S. 🟨,
87', Sorman S. ↓, Suljev A. ↑,
87', Abraham E. ↓, Skillermo E. ↑,
90', Hjelte J. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
90+3', Abraham S. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Diagne M. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Skövde has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gefle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Skövde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
25.08.24	Östersund - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Skövde AIK - Helsingborg	1:3 ✺
09.08.24	Brage - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Skövde AIK - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
25.08.24	Gefle - Öster	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Huddinge - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
17.08.24	Örebro - Gefle	4:1 ✺
10.08.24	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
03.08.24	Sandviken - Gefle	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0
07.10.23	Skövde AIK - Gefle	3:1
14.05.23	Gefle - Skövde AIK	4:1

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