Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 19

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.2	3.3	2.87
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.6	3.25
	2.19	3.38	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.2	3.5	3.08	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.02)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.09 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
42.5%

Draw
27.3%

Brage
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.1%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Degerfors - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Brage will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brage: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Moros C. 30. Morgado B. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 12. Lindell E. 4. Martensson J. (C) 22. Girmai N. 2. Diaby M. 9. Lindgren G. 17. Kassi L. 10. Vukojevic D.	1. Frodig V. (G) 22. Weilid C. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 5. Agren O. 23. Redenstrand C. 11. Arvidsson J. 10. Berggren G. 21. Sletsjoe H. 7. Tot Wikstrom E. 12. Ieltsin Camoes 33. Muhsin A.
Substitutes
19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 20. Gravius C. 18. Gronborg T. 26. Jarlesand F. (G) 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E.	18. Abic F. 13. Bernardini A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 19. Pektas O. 20. Sjoberg F. 6. Titi A. 3. Walemark T.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Girmai N. ⚽, Vukojevic D. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Muhsin A. ⚽, Arvidsson J. (A),
45+2', Diaby M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Zetterstrom A. 🟨,
59', Martensson J. ↓, Gravius C. ↑,
72', Arvidsson J. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
72', Berggren G. ↓, Titi A. ↑,
74', Kassi L. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
80', Lindell E. 🟨,
85', Vukojevic D. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
85', Diaby M. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
87', Muhsin A. ↓, Abic F. ↑,
90', Ieltsin Camoes 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Tot Wikstrom E. ↓, Sjoberg F. ↑,
90+7', Sjoberg F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 2.

Recent matches Degerfors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brage is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Degerfors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
13.08.24	Helsingborg - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Degerfors - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Östersund - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.24	Degerfors - Västerås SK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLW
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
09.08.24	Brage - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Öster - Brage	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Brage - Örebro	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Skövde AIK - Brage	1:0 ✺
28.06.24	Brage - Gefle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.05.24	Brage - Degerfors	0:1
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Degerfors - Brage	1:3
Swedish Superettan
10.10.20	Brage - Degerfors	0:0
17.06.20	Degerfors - Brage	4:1
Club Friendly
06.02.20	Brage - Degerfors	5:2
Swedish Superettan
26.09.19	Brage - Degerfors	1:2
07.05.19	Degerfors - Brage	1:0

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