Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Democrata GV		Nacional de Muriaé

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.87
	2.35	2.85	2.85
	2.51	2.65	3.04
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.43	2.98	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.39)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
37.2%

Draw
32.1%

Nacional de Muriaé
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

24.6%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nacional de Muriaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Democrata GV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional de Muriaé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Democrata GV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
19.09.21	Tupynambás - Democrata GV	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
06.09.21	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Democrata SL - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
23.08.21	Democrata GV - Guarani MG	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTW
- Nacional de Muriaé
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
19.09.21	Villa Nova AC - Nacional de Muriaé	2:0 ✺
15.09.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Villa Nova AC	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
04.09.21	Tupynambás - Nacional de Muriaé	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Betim - Nacional de Muriaé	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
11.09.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:0
11.08.21	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	2:1
17.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	1:1

Democrata GV - Nacional de Muriaé

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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