Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 26

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Chirk AAA

	1	X	2
	1.15	7	12
	1.17	7.06	8.18
	1.17	7.06	8.18
	1.15	7.1	12.1
	1.17	6.6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.41)	6.96 ↑ (5)	10.05 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
78%

Draw
13%

Chirk AAA
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

16.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denbigh Town's performance.

Chirk AAA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chirk AAA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denbigh Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chirk AAA than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chirk AAA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Denbigh Town is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chirk AAA has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chirk AAA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Denbigh Town is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Denbigh Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
02.03.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Denbigh Town	3:1 ✺
27.02.24	Denbigh Town - Prestatyn Town	4:3 ✺
24.02.24	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	1:2 ✺
02.02.24	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWW
- Chirk AAA
Welsh Cymru North
02.03.24	Chirk AAA - Mold Alexandra	1:4 ✺
23.02.24	Prestatyn Town - Chirk AAA	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Chirk AAA - Prestatyn Town	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Chirk AAA - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Flint Town United - Chirk AAA	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.08.23	Chirk AAA - Denbigh Town	0:1
Welsh League Cup
21.07.23	Chirk AAA - Denbigh Town	0:1

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