Match Info

Cymru North - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Porthmadog

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.85	3.55
	1.76	4.00	3.63
	1.8	3.97	3.81	Watch
	1.74	3.95	3.55
	1.76	3.86	3.65
	1.80	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.32)	3.88 ↑ (3.71)	3.61 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
51.5%

Draw
23.4%

Porthmadog
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denbigh Town's performance.

Porthmadog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porthmadog might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Denbigh Town - Porthmadog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Summers-Jones D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Vaughan A. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Thomas W. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Martin H. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Ellis O. ⚽,

Preview

Denbigh Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17:11	6	20
13	Denbigh	10	2	1	7	18:23	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Denbigh Town - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
14.08.26	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Denbigh Town - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Colwyn Bay - Denbigh Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
18.04.26	Caersws - Denbigh Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWLWL
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
15.08.26	Buckley Town - Porthmadog	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Penrhyncoch - Porthmadog	1:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
19.04.24	Porthmadog - Holywell Town	0:3 ✺
01.04.24	Chirk AAA - Porthmadog	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties
Welsh Cymru North
02.02.24	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	3:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
11.04.18	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	1:0

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