Match Info

Cymru North - Round 16

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Denbigh Town		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.65	2.88
	2.17	3.84	2.75
	2.09	3.98	2.94	Watch
	2	3.7	2.75
	2.1	4.19	2.83
	2.05	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.27)	3.84 ↓ (3.94)	2.83 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
44%

Draw
23.8%

Guilsfield
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

23.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

23.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Denbigh Town - Guilsfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Denbigh Town will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Dafydd G. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Dafydd G. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Davies O. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Knott R. ⚽,
39', 3 - 2, Matthews I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)

Recent form of Denbigh Town has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guilsfield is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Denbigh Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guilsfield has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Guilsfield	10	4	4	2	16:12	4	16
13	Denbigh	10	2	1	7	18:23	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
17.01.26	Brickfield Rangers - Denbigh Town	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	2:3 ✺
26.12.25	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	3:1 ✺
14.11.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Denbigh Town	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Denbigh Town - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLLWL
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
27.12.25	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Guilsfield - Newtown	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Guilsfield - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Guilsfield - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Caersws - Guilsfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	2:1
18.01.25	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	3:2
02.11.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:3
23.03.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:1
24.02.24	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	2:2

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