Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Caersws		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.95	1.68
	3.71	4.02	1.71
	3.83	3.87	1.81	Watch
	4.21	3.88	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.83)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
23.5%

Draw
23.2%

Guilsfield
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Caersws - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Knott A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Caersws is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guilsfield is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guilsfield is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Llandudno - Caersws	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Caersws - Flint Mountain	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Caersws	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Guilsfield - Brickfield Rangers	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Guilsfield - Airbus UK Broughton	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
05.10.24	Caersws - Guilsfield	5:3
27.07.24	Guilsfield - Caersws	1:2
19.03.24	Guilsfield - Caersws	2:2
28.10.23	Caersws - Guilsfield	2:3
Welsh Cymru Alliance
22.08.17	Caersws - Guilsfield	0:4

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