The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caersws 45.5%
Draw 24.2%
Guilsfield 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.9%
24.5%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
24.8%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caersws's performance.
Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guilsfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caersws that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guilsfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caersws - Guilsfield Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Francis-Jones C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 2 - 0, Harries A. ⚽,
78', Bromley C. 🟥,
85', 2 - 1, Tilsley D. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Tilsley D. ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 2.
Caersws has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guilsfield has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Caersws holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Caersws has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 1.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Caersws against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.8:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Caersws FC
11
5
4
2
24:17
7
19
8
Guilsfield
12
4
5
3
18:16
2
17
Last Results with these Odds
Caersws - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Guilsfield - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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