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Current Win Probability
Dendele 42.9%
Draw 11.1%
Fluxo 46%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
13.8%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
13.4%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dendele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Fluxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluxo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dendele than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dendele, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluxo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluxo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dendele - Fluxo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
4. Belletti
10. Chaveirinho
70. Bruninho Mandarino
20. Doth
16. Gabriel Repulho
17. Gustavinho Henrique
14. Guilherme Carvalho
. Habibi P.
1. Gustavo Hungaro
96. Helber Junior
7. Lucas Guilherme
94. Jheferson Falcao
2. Lyncoln Oliveira
22. Joao Pedro
30. Maikon Santos
11. Marcos MV
12. Marquinhos Samora
3. Murillo Pulino
9. Nicollas Nascimento
5. Pinguinho
11. Ryan Soares
7. Renan Augusto
92. Tuco
8. Well Andrade
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 4)
1', 1 - 0, Lyncoln Oliveira ⚽,
1', 1 - 1, Well Andrade ⚽,
2', 1 - 2, Well Andrade ⚽,
5', 1 - 3, Well Andrade (Penalty Awarded),
7', 1 - 4, Cerol (Penalty Awarded),
10', 2 - 4, Lyncoln Oliveira ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 3)
21', 3 - 4, Lucas Guilherme ⚽,
22', 4 - 4, Lyncoln Oliveira ⚽,
23', 5 - 4, Canhoto ⚽,
23', 6 - 4, LuquEt4 (Penalty Awarded),
24', 7 - 4, Lyncoln Oliveira (Penalty Awarded),
24', 7 - 5, Helber Junior ⚽,
29', 7 - 6, Chaveirinho (Penalty Awarded),
30', 7 - 7, Well Andrade (Penalty Awarded),
32', Marcos MV 🟨,
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Played with special rules.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kings League ~ Brazil (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kings League ~ Brazil (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent performances by Dendele have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fluxo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Dendele has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dendele won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 4:4.5).
Including home match between the teams, Dendele won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
Watch
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