Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)


	Dender EH		Deinze

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.4
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.88	3.96
	1.85	3.88	3.96
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.82	3.76	3.81	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)	3.72 ↑ (3.66)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
50.1%

Draw
25%

Deinze
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Deinze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deinze than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Dender EH - Deinze Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Deinze will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gies X. (G) 28. Marzo S. 22. Ruyssen G. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 23. Acquah D. 18. Rodes N. 10. Hens L. 88. Ferraro F. 98. Soladio J. 77. Nsimba B.	31. Miras N. (G) 13. Prychynenko D. 23. Schuermans K. 5. Lemoine L. 77. Almenara G. 38. Sierra J. 10. Hendrickx G. 3. Quintero T. 18. van Landschoot J. 92. Mertens L. 22. Anne S.
Substitutes
19. Akman A. 4. Borry K. 13. Devriendt J. (G) 9. Lallemand M. 7. M'barki R. 14. Myny O. 5. Ragolle D. 11. Rajsel N. 8. Van Oudenhove J.	4. Alvarez V. 14. Braken S. 8. De Schryver G. 28. Dutoit W. (G) 34. Kassimi A. 80. Kehrer E. 20. Kone M. 25. Spegelaere A. 7. Staelens A.
Coaches
Simons T.	Somers H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Schuermans K. (Own goal),
22', Acquah D. ↓, Van Oudenhove J. ↑,
35', 2 - 0, Marzo S. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Cools K. ⚽, Hens L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Prychynenko D. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
46', Anne S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
49', Soladio J. 🟨,
57', Quintero T. 🟨,
64', Soladio J. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
65', Ferraro F. ↓, Lallemand M. ↑,
68', Quintero T. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
68', Mertens L. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
70', Sierra J. 🟨,
85', Braken S. 🟨,
87', Nsimba B. ↓, Myny O. ↑,
88', Hens L. ↓, Akman A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Relegation: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Relegation: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 2.

Dender EH is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deinze is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deinze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dender EH is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dender EH won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.03.24	Brugge U23 - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dender EH - Standard Liège U23	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Oostende - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Dender EH - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Anderlecht U23 - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTL
- SK Deinze
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.03.24	Deinze - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Deinze - Francs Borains	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	RFC Liège - Deinze	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Deinze - Anderlecht U23	4:1 ✺
23.02.24	Beveren - Deinze	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.11.23	Deinze - Dender EH	1:1
12.05.23	Deinze - Dender EH	3:2
10.03.23	Dender EH - Deinze	1:0
05.02.23	Dender EH - Deinze	0:1
16.09.22	Deinze - Dender EH	0:2
Belgian National Division 1
18.01.20	Dender EH - Deinze	1:3
05.10.19	Deinze - Dender EH	2:0

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