Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Van Roy Stadium (Denderleeuw)

Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)


	Dender EH		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	3.5	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.7
	1.85	4	3.6	Watch
	1.81	3.98	4.13
	1.8	3.7	3.7
	1.78	3.88	3.88	Watch
	1.81	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	3.73 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
51.6%

Draw
23.7%

Genk U23
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

24%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dender EH - Genk U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gies X. (G) 28. Marzo S. 5. Ragolle D. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 7. M'barki R. 14. Myny O. 18. Rodes N. 10. Hens L. 11. Rajsel N. 77. Nsimba B.	41. Penders M. (G) 75. Caicedo A. 72. Ndenge Kongolo J. 76. Manguelle B. 63. Al Mazyani F. 58. Van De Perre K. 70. Bangoura I. 20. John K. 78. Karetsas K. 67. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 59. Mirisola R.
Substitutes
99. Akman A. 12. De Bodt A. 85. Dony A. 16. Masangu K. 22. Ruyssen G. 98. Soladio J. 26. Tani K. (G)	48. Abid A. 65. Akpan C. 57. Arabaci D. 68. Claes T. 64. Martens N. 71. Pieklak M. (G) 80. Toure S.
Coaches
Simons T.	Coen J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Dender EH is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Dender EH won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.09.23	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Dender EH - Lommel	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Dender EH - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:2 ✺
18.08.23	Dender EH - Anderlecht U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTTL
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.09.23	Oostende - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:4 ✺
01.09.23	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:3 ✺
20.08.23	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.04.23	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:4
31.03.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	1:0
24.01.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	0:1
30.09.22	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:2

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