Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Urbain (Boussu)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Francs Borains		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.25	4	1.47
	5.5	4.33	1.52	Watch
	5.84	4.49	1.51
	6.33	4.63	1.47
	5.8	4.2	1.44
	5.8	4.32	1.48	Watch
	5.8	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (4.43)	4.38 ↑ (3.92)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francs Borains
16.3%

Draw
21.1%

Dender EH
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.5%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francs Borains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dender EH's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Francs Borains - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Francs Borains will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Dender EH will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Libertiaux C. (G) 4. Gillekens J. 31. Vandendriessche K. 23. Malungu L. 28. Francotte M. 19. Gece T. 15. Healy M. 96. Guirassy F. 55. Massolin Y. 90. Kadiri J. A. 25. Lavie C.	1. Gies X. (G) 22. Ruyssen G. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 28. Marzo S. 10. Hens L. 18. Rodes N. 88. Ferraro F. 77. Nsimba B. 98. Soladio J. 7. M'barki R.
Substitutes
10. Chaabi H. 9. Dailly N. 83. De Smeth A. (G) 18. Donnez R. 22. Mabani F. 21. Mpati Bibuangu T. 69. Obissa S. 7. Tainmont C. 20. Walicki P.	19. Akman A. 4. Borry K. 13. Devriendt J. (G) 9. Lallemand M. 16. Masangu K. 14. Myny O. 5. Ragolle D. 8. Van Oudenhove J. 17. Yahaya A.
Coaches
Grandjean S.	Simons T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Cools K. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, M'barki R. ⚽,
26', Massolin Y. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Nsimba B. ⚽,
44', Soladio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Nsimba B. ⚽, M'barki R. (A),
52', Kadiri J. A. (Pen),
54', Soladio J. ↓, Lallemand M. ↑,
65', Guirassy F. ↓, Mabani F. ↑,
66', Kadiri J. A. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
71', M'barki R. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
71', Nsimba B. ↓, Myny O. ↑,
84', Malungu L. ↓, Mpati Bibuangu T. ↑,
84', Gece T. ↓, Chaabi H. ↑,
86', Ferraro F. ↓, Van Oudenhove J. ↑,
86', Cools K. ↓, Ragolle D. ↑,
89', Marzo S. 🟨,
89', Mabani F. 🟨,
89', Lavie C. ↓, Tainmont C. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

Recent matches Francs Borains is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dender EH is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Dender EH is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Francs Borains won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Francs Borains won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.04.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Francs Borains - RFC Liège	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Anderlecht U23 - Francs Borains	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Deinze - Francs Borains	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Francs Borains - Lommel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTWL
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.04.24	Dender EH - Zulte Waregem	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Dender EH - Deinze	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Brugge U23 - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dender EH - Standard Liège U23	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Oostende - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.12.23	Dender EH - Francs Borains	2:0
Belgian National Division 1
19.12.21	Francs Borains - Dender EH	1:1

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