Match Info

Date: 26 October 2020, Monday


	Denizlispor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.35	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.08
	3.49	3.55	2.15
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.64	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.52)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
27.8%

Draw
27.1%

Beşiktaş
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

17.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denizlispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	21.9%	67.2%

Denizlispor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 43 - 67.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 55.7% – 78.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Denizlispor has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Beşiktaş has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (17%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Recent matches Denizlispor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beşiktaş is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beşiktaş could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Beşiktaş will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish Super League
19.10.20	Gençlerbirliği - Denizlispor	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Denizlispor - Konyaspor	0:0 ✺
28.09.20	Antalyaspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Denizlispor - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
04.10.20	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Beşiktaş - Rio Ave	1:2 penalties ✺
Turkish Super League
19.09.20	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
20.06.20	Denizlispor - Beşiktaş	1:5
10.11.19	Beşiktaş - Denizlispor	1:0

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