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Current Win Probability
Trabzonspor 34.3%
Draw 27.6%
Beşiktaş 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.6%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
26.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trabzonspor's form might have worsened.
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
21.4%
21.4%
Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 38.8% – 75.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Trabzonspor (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DNB - Trabzonspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Trabzonspor (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 19. Eskihellac M. 29. Saatci S. 44. Batagov A. 11. Tufan O. (C) 42. Inao Oulai C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 22. Zubkov O. 10. Muci E. 70. Olaigbe K. 99. Felipe Augusto
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 35. Djalo T. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 7. Rashica M. 18. Cerny V. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
77. Bosluk A. 8. Bouchouari B. 17. Cakiroglu O. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 15. Savic S. 14. Sikan D. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 5. Yokuslu O.
22. Bulut T. 1. Gunok M. (G) 39. Jurasek D. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 52. Sahin D. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F. 20. Uysal N. 33. Yilmaz R.
Coaches
Tekke F.
Yalcin S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
2', Topcu E. 🟨,
6', Kokcu O. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Abraham T. ⚽, Toure E. B. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Cerny V. ⚽, Toure E. B. (A),
25', 1 - 2, Muci E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 3, Cerny V. ⚽, Rashica M. (A),
33', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
38', Toure E. B. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Saatci S. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
46', Olaigbe K. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Inao Oulai C. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
70', Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
73', Kokcu O. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
76', Rashica M. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
79', Destanoglu E. 🟨,
84', Eskihellac M. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Zubkov O. ⚽, Inao Oulai C. (A),
89', Djalo T. 🟨,
90', Zubkov O. 🟨,
90', Abraham T. 🟨,
90+2', Cerny V. ↓, Bulut T. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 1.
Trabzonspor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R.
(Shin Injury)
Baskan B.
(Suspended)
Malkocoglu S.
(Suspended)
Nwakaeme A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onuachu P.
(Yellow Cards)
Pina W.
(Red Card)
Savic S.
(Injury)
Visca E.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Beşiktaş: Hekimoglu M.
(Muscle Injury)
Uduokhai F.
(Personal Reasons)
Uysal N.
(Contusion)
There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Rafa Silva
(Hip Injury)
Svensson J.
(Inactive)
Under C.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Trabzonspor - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.