Match Info

1. Lig - Round 35

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bodrumspor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.19	3.61	Watch
	1.97	3.4	4.18
	1.95	3.39	3.81	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.94	3.35	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)	3.78 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
47.5%

Draw
28%

Bandırmaspor
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodrumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 68. Tarim I. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 17. Yavuzay B. 8. Erdilman M. 10. Brazao P. 70. Bilsel E. 21. Aslan A. 99. Seferi T. 90. Habesoglu A.	1. Ozcimen A. (G) 27. Alici K. 6. Ciftci H. 33. Nukan A. (C) 34. Aydin E. 92. Mulumba R. 20. Parmak A. 7. Fall M. 10. Gumuskaya M. 29. Badji A. 24. Amaral J.
Substitutes
35. Apaydin F. 41. Bayrakdar G. 11. Imeri O. 91. Ogruce E. 9. Osman H. 26. Potuk A. 20. Sertkaya Y. 30. Tarhan Y. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.	30. Acar E. 53. Albayrak M. 16. Alkan A. (G) 2. Ceylan O. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 22. Midilic Y. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Eser B.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Nukan A. 🟨,
62', Erdilman M. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
62', Badji A. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
78', Amaral J. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
82', Habesoglu A. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
82', Bilsel E. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
89', Aydin E. ↓, Albayrak M. ↑,
89', Parmak A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
90', Nogueira Sousa D. F. 🟨,
90+1', Aslan A. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 2.

Bodrumspor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bandırmaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bodrumspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar. (Injury) Hotic D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Burgaz G. (Injury) Parmak A. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
07.04.26	Çorum - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	İstanbulspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Bodrumspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Igdirspor - Bodrumspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
07.04.26	Bandırmaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Çorum - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Boluspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0
09.03.24	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0
22.10.23	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	2:1
29.03.23	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:4
23.10.22	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.03.20	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1
03.11.19	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0

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