Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Somaspor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.53	3.59	7.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	6.42 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
60.6%

Draw
25.1%

Derince Belediyespor
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Guner T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 and 14).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Derince Belediyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Somaspor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Somaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Somaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.02.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Somaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLT
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.02.25	Erbaaspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Derince Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Derince Belediyespor - Menemenspor	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Elazığspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
20.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0
21.04.24	Derince Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0
10.12.23	Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0

Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide