Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Derince Belediyespor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	8	4.1	1.35
	9	4.33	1.36	Watch
	9.11	4.26	1.36
	9.11	4.27	1.37
	8.7	4.25	1.33
	8.2	4.1	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.69 ↑ (3.82)	4.22 ↑ (3.3)	1.35 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
10.5%

Draw
21.7%

Igdirspor
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.7%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derince Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igdirspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igdirspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derince Belediyespor - Igdirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Derince Belediyespor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Igdirspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Igdirspor is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	Kastamonuspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - İnegölspor	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Fethiyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LWWTW
- Igdirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	Igdirspor - Uşakspor	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Iskenderunspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Igdirspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Düzcespor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.11.23	Kayserispor - Igdirspor	4:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTWTL

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